Dundela 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.02
2-3 Goals
33%
1.96
4-5 Goals
29%
2.75
6+ Goals
17%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -24%
1.98/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.03
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
379 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ards FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.03.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-5 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela edged past Ards FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dundela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundela and 2.33 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ards FC?

Dundela 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundela 36%, draw 25%, Ards FC 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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