Newry City AFC 3-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.35
No
43%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
7.01
2-3 Goals
40%
2.19
4-5 Goals
34%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
70%
-13.3pp
43%
BTTS No
30%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.85/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.10
-3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 1-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRK
03.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRK
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC beat Newington Youth 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newry City AFC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newry City AFC and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?

Newry City AFC 3-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 43%, draw 25%, Newington Youth 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newry City AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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