Newry City AFC 1-2 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
40%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.21
Over 2.5
40%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.37
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
6%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 29% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
33%
Draw
22%
+10.7pp
40%
Away Win
58%
-18.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
1-2
AWAY Newington Youth
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth nicked a narrow win over Newry City AFC 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Newington Youth made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 59% of the ball to Newington Youth's 41%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?

Newry City AFC 1-2 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 27%, draw 33%, Newington Youth 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✗ Under 2.5
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