Cliftonville 4-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.79 — our 25% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.03/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.08/2.24
+20% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
16.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
30.09.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cliftonville
4-0
AWAY Loughgall FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville cruised past Loughgall FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cliftonville had 53% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 47%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cliftonville and 1.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Loughgall FC?

Cliftonville 4-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 61%, draw 21%, Loughgall FC 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRK More North Ireland - Cup
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth Analysis →
18:00 Institute FC vs Ards FC Analysis →
18:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Ballyclare Comrades Analysis →
18:00 Larne FC vs Glenavon FC Analysis →
18:00 Linfield FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →
18:00 Portadown FC vs Bangor FC Analysis →