Linfield FC 2-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
77%
-19.5pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +90% / +90%
3.59/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.06
+58% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
18.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
18.11.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
03.09.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-4 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
08.03.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
2-0
AWAY Ballymena United
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC got the better of Ballymena United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Linfield FC had 59% of the ball to Ballymena United's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Linfield FC and 0.00 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 2-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 58%, draw 20%, Ballymena United 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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