Institute FC 1-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
59%
-14.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.16
-81% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
22.12.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
28.01.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
15.10.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Institute FC
1-0
AWAY Ards FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Ards FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Institute FC had 50% of the ball to Ards FC's 50%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Institute FC and 1.33 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ards FC?

Institute FC 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 44%, draw 27%, Ards FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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