Ards FC 2-2 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

Ards FC
2-2 HT 1-0
Institute FC
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ards FC vs Institute FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ards FC v Institute FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.55/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.10
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Ards FC vs Institute FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Institute FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.12.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.10.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
28.01.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
15.10.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.09.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1

Ards FC 2-2 Institute FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
2-2
AWAY Institute FC
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Institute FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ards FC had 33% of the ball to Institute FC's 67%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ards FC and 2.00 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Institute FC?

Ards FC 2-2 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 37%, draw 23%, Institute FC 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Institute FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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