Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.1pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -22%
2.24/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.80
+18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
12.11.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
13.09.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 4-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KILK
13.08.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
3-1
AWAY Ballinamallard United
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades saw off Ballinamallard United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Ballyclare Comrades made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Ballyclare Comrades had 49% of the ball to Ballinamallard United's 51%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.00 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United?

Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 38%, draw 26%, Ballinamallard United 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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