Dundela 1-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 23% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.65/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.01
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
02.12.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
07.10.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela and Portadown FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dundela and 0.50 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Portadown FC?

Dundela 1-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundela 40%, draw 25%, Portadown FC 35%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundela) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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