Dungannon Swifts 2-3 Ballyclare Comrades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.54
2-3 Goals
32%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
37%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.86 — our 37% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
15%
+16.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-17.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 69%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2-3
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Ballyclare Comrades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades squeezed past Dungannon Swifts 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ballyclare Comrades as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dungannon Swifts had 68% of the ball to Ballyclare Comrades's 32%, shots finished 24-9.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Dungannon Swifts 2-3 Ballyclare Comrades in the North Ireland - Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 32%, draw 21%, Ballyclare Comrades 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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