Ards FC 0-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.93
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
29%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.9pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.63/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.12
-14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundela
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
23.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 0-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.03.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-5 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela squeezed past Ards FC 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Dundela made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ards FC and 1.33 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Dundela?

Ards FC 0-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 40%, draw 29%, Dundela 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5
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