Ballinamallard United 4-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.74/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
414 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United cruised past Newington Youth 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Ballinamallard United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Ballinamallard United 4-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 41%, draw 21%, Newington Youth 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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