Newington Youth 1-2 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.0pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -24%
1.65/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.70
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United squeezed past Newington Youth 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Ballinamallard United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Newington Youth and 1.00 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Newington Youth 1-2 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 40%, draw 28%, Ballinamallard United 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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