Institute FC 2-4 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Institute FC
2-4 HT 2-1
Dundela
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Institute FC vs Dundela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Dundela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.54/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.31
-23% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Institute FC vs Dundela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Dundela
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
30.09.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
14.01.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
05.11.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
13.08.2022 Dundela Dundela 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
11.12.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1

Institute FC 2-4 Dundela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Institute FC
2-4
AWAY Dundela
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela saw off Institute FC 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Institute FC had 60% of the ball to Dundela's 40%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Institute FC and 1.67 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Dundela?

Institute FC 2-4 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 47%, draw 21%, Dundela 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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