Ards FC 1-2 Knockbreda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.56
2-3 Goals
38%
2.36
4-5 Goals
31%
2.33
6+ Goals
13%
3.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Knockbreda EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
3.01/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.99
+44% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Knockbreda
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
02.09.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 2-3 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
18.03.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-1 HT 0-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
26.12.2022 Knockbreda Knockbreda 3-2 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
08.10.2022 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-4 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.03.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ards FC
1-2
AWAY Knockbreda
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Knockbreda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Knockbreda edged past Ards FC 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ards FC at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Ards FC had 60% of the ball to Knockbreda's 40%, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ards FC and 1.67 for Knockbreda.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Knockbreda?

Ards FC 1-2 Knockbreda in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Knockbreda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 63%, draw 22%, Knockbreda 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Institute FC vs Dundela Analysis →
18:00 Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United Analysis →
18:00 Harland & Wolff Welders vs Bangor FC Analysis →