Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.45/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.90
-28% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
18.11.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
08.04.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballinamallard United
3-1
AWAY Newington Youth
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United saw off Newington Youth 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ballinamallard United had 52% of the ball to Newington Youth's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.33 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Ballinamallard United 3-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 48%, draw 28%, Newington Youth 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5
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