Dundela 3-4 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

Dundela
3-4 HT 0-1
Institute FC
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Dundela vs Institute FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 31% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundela v Institute FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.00/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.86
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Dundela vs Institute FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Institute FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-4 HT 2-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
18.11.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
30.09.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
14.01.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
05.11.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
13.08.2022 Dundela Dundela 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1

Dundela 3-4 Institute FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundela
3-4
AWAY Institute FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Dundela 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dundela had 56% of the ball to Institute FC's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundela and 0.67 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Institute FC?

Dundela 3-4 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dundela 33%, draw 30%, Institute FC 37%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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