Institute FC 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
41%
+9.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.39/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.26
-28% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballyclare Comrades
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
11.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-3 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
18.02.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 6-2 HT 3-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
04.02.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRK
26.11.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Ballyclare Comrades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades saw off Institute FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Institute FC and 1.50 for Ballyclare Comrades.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Institute FC 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Ballyclare Comrades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 50%, draw 19%, Ballyclare Comrades 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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