Ballinamallard United 1-2 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.52
2-3 Goals
31%
1.9
4-5 Goals
32%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.84/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.98
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
16.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
29.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.03.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
22.10.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC edged past Ballinamallard United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballinamallard United and 0.67 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Ballinamallard United 1-2 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 34%, draw 24%, Institute FC 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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