Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.76
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.9pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
2.35/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.93
+30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
28.11.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
28.10.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 6-3 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.04.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 5-1 HT 3-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
14.02.2023 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
19.11.2022 Ards FC Ards FC 3-3 HT 2-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades nicked a narrow win over Ards FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ballyclare Comrades as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballyclare Comrades had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 1.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Ards FC?

Ballyclare Comrades 3-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 42%, draw 25%, Ards FC 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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