Annagh United 1-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.91
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.45/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.52
+34% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-3 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
03.12.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
01.10.2021 Annagh United Annagh United 0-3 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United squeezed past Newry City AFC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newry City AFC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Annagh United and 1.67 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Newry City AFC?

Annagh United 1-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 32%, draw 25%, Newry City AFC 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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