Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
0.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.06
-56% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 48% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 52%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 37%, draw 30%, Sportivo Ameliano 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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