Libertad 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.10/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.03
+18% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PARK
10.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
29.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
25.01.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
13.11.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
3-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad swept aside Sportivo Luqueno 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Libertad had 50% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 50%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 0.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Libertad 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Libertad 51%, draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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