Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
0.94/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.01
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
13.11.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
25.04.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
11.02.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.11.2021 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0-3
AWAY Libertad
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad swept aside Sportivo Luqueno 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Libertad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 44% of the ball to Libertad's 56%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.67 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 26%, Libertad 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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