Cerro Porteno 3-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.92/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.86
+3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
28.09.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PARK
16.07.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
14.04.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.01.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
06.10.2022 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
3-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo Ameliano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 59% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 41%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno 3-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 46%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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