Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 28%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.00/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+88% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
29.08.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
25.01.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
13.11.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad saw off Sportivo Luqueno 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Libertad had 50% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 50%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 0.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Cup on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad 41%, draw 32%, Sportivo Luqueno 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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