Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
0.89/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.09
-25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Libertad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
25.01.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
13.11.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
25.04.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
11.02.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-1
AWAY Libertad
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno and Libertad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 42% of the ball to Libertad's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.83 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 27%, Libertad 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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