Alianza Atletico vs Binacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Binacional — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Binacional Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Binacional
PER
4-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Atletico
PER
2-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Binacional
PER
0-3
HT 0-1
Binacional
PER
Alianza Atletico 4-1 Binacional — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico ran out comfortable winners over Binacional 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 44% of the ball to Binacional's 56%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Binacional led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.80 for Binacional.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Binacional?
Alianza Atletico 4-1 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Binacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 58%, draw 25%, Binacional 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.