Cusco FC 1-1 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.67/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.64
-3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
18.5 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 194
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.07.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
02.02.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.03.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
13.08.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
17.02.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 2-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-1
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.91 xG 0.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
337 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC and UTC Cajamarca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Cusco FC carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 57% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.91 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Cusco FC 1-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 61%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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