Warta Poznan 0-1 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.6pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.43/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.08
+11% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 4-0 HT 2-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow edged past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stal Rzeszow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 60% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 40%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Stal Rzeszow?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 33%, draw 27%, Stal Rzeszow 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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