Stal Rzeszow 4-0 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.83
+49% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +64%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
4-0
AWAY Warta Poznan
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow swept aside Warta Poznan 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Stal Rzeszow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 55% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 45%, shots finished 27-11.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Warta Poznan?

Stal Rzeszow 4-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 39%, draw 27%, Warta Poznan 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Rzeszow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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