Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 46%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.14/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.78
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 0-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
14.08.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 3-4 HT 1-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0-1
AWAY Miedz Legnica
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica edged past Polonia Warszawa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Miedz Legnica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 45% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 55%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 3.00 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?

Polonia Warszawa 0-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 33%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5
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