Alverca 2-0 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

Alverca
2-0 HT 1-0
Mafra
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Alverca vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.64
Over
47%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.0
No
51%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.52
2-3
39%
1.71
4-5
21%
4.16
6+
10%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Alverca v Mafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra The Market 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.81/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.53
+45% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Alverca vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mafra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.55 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
262 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POR2

Alverca 2-0 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2-0
AWAY Mafra
1.58 xG 2.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
239 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Alverca vs Mafra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alverca beat Mafra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

By the numbers, Alverca had 51% of the ball to Mafra's 49%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.58 to 2.48 — on chances, Mafra could feel hard done by.

Alverca vs Mafra Result & Final Score

Alverca 2-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alverca vs Mafra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alverca 45%, draw 28%, Mafra 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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