Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.97
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.55
X/1
7%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.63
X/X
11%
3.72
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
4.18
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.56/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.18
+26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
23.5 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amed SK
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.05 xG 0.91
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 10
183 Passes 448
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 0-4 HT 0-2 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Amed SK
1.13 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Amed SK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 52% of the ball to Amed SK's 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.13 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 37%, draw 27%, Amed SK 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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