Amed SK 0-4 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.2
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
11%
9.56
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2 EV+ ✓
14%
7.84
2/X
7%
16.3
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.84 — our 14% vs market 9.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.13/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.41
-38% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
17.0 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
0-4
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.91 xG 3.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
448 Passes 183
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor ran out comfortable winners over Amed SK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Amed SK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Amed SK had 68% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 32%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.91 to 3.05.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Amed SK 0-4 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 48%, draw 23%, Esenler Erokspor 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Amed SK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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