Keçiörengücü 1-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
13%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
9%
5.61
X/2
15%
5.33
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.62
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
+13% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.3 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 2.34
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
188 Passes 448
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
22.10.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-3 HT 0-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
12.02.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-B
02.10.2016 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
08.02.2015 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-3 HT 1-2 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
28.09.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-1
AWAY Pendikspor
0.74 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
338 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü and Pendikspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 50% of the ball to Pendikspor's 50%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.74 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pendikspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?

Keçiörengücü 1-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 31%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pendikspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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