İstanbulspor 0-3 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

İstanbulspor
0-3 HT 0-2
Kocaelispor
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.58
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
20%
5.22
X/2
14%
5.79
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.15
2/X
11%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.50/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.38
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
18.5 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

İstanbulspor vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.92 xG 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
392 Passes 201
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.02.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
02.10.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
17.11.2013 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-6 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S3-3
27.01.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
09.09.2007 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
24.03.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 0-3 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
0-3
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.48 xG 3.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
434 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor swept aside İstanbulspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was İstanbulspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 59% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 41%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.48 to 3.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Kocaelispor?

İstanbulspor 0-3 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 41%, draw 29%, Kocaelispor 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (İstanbulspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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