Manisa FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
11%
7.4
X/X
10%
4.29
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.65
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.40
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.3 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
396 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
30.09.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
02.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
31.10.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
22.01.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
29.08.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.82 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
279 Passes 291
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK nicked a narrow win over Gençlerbirliği 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manisa FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 50% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.82 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manisa FK and 0.83 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Manisa FK 1-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 47%, draw 25%, Gençlerbirliği 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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