Manisa FK 1-1 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.95
X/1
21%
4.58
X/2
6%
6.35
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.9
2/X
11%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.9 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.39 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
435 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
02.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
31.10.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
22.01.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
29.08.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-1
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.21 xG 0.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
197 Passes 284
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK and Gençlerbirliği shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manisa FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manisa FK had 43% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 57%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.21 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Manisa FK and 0.80 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Manisa FK 1-1 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 46%, draw 28%, Gençlerbirliği 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manisa FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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