Eyüpspor 3-2 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
19.65
X/1
18%
3.49
X/2
8%
15.5
X/X
8%
6.58
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
6%
12.5
2/X
6%
20.4
Value flag · 1/X at 19.65 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.59/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.68
-29% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
27.1 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
26.05.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
30.03.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
21.10.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.02.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
26.09.2020 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
3-2
AWAY Sakaryaspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor nicked a narrow win over Sakaryaspor 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 56% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 44%, shots finished 21-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.17 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Eyüpspor 3-2 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 56%, draw 25%, Sakaryaspor 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ BTTS No
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