Boluspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.48
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 39% vs market 34.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
17%
3.8
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.84
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.27/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
-16% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.0 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
382 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
25.12.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
16.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.11.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
01.02.2020 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
31.08.2019 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.32 xG 0.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
302 Passes 173
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
10 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor nicked a narrow win over Erzurumspor FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Boluspor had 58% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 42%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.32 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.50 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Boluspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 36%, draw 31%, Erzurumspor FK 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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