Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.53
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.3pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.80/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.40
+29% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Bizertin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
08.02.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
10.11.2022 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
24.03.2021 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 4-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
06.12.2020 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
12.08.2020 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-2 HT 2-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel squeezed past CA Bizertin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 1.17 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin?

Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 47%, draw 30%, CA Bizertin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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