Gabes 0-2 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
59%
Away Win
72%
-12.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
114 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabes
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ES Tunis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.11.2024 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 2-1 Gabes Gabes TUN1
POST-MATCH Gabes vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis saw off Gabes 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gabes vs ES Tunis?

Gabes 0-2 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Gabes 19%, draw 22%, ES Tunis 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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