Pescara 2-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away Pick
60%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.07
Over
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.67
No
51%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.78
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.04
6+
10%
9.92
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.6
1/2
6%
21.8
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
7%
8.85
X/2
27%
4.42
X/X
7%
5.34
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.27
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · X/2 at 4.42 — our 27% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo The Market 57%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.30/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.67
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
20.0 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Palermo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.69 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
376 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Palermo Palermo 5-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
03.04.2019 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
11.11.2018 Palermo Palermo 3-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
07.04.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
03.11.2017 Pescara Pescara 2-2 HT 1-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
22.05.2017 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-1
AWAY Palermo
1.30 xG 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
289 Passes 249
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pescara vs Palermo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pescara shaded a tight game against Palermo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Palermo at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.67, roughly 60%.

By the numbers, Pescara had 53% of the ball to Palermo's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pescara and 2.17 for Palermo.

Pescara vs Palermo Result & Final Score

Pescara 2-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pescara vs Palermo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pescara 19%, draw 21%, Palermo 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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