Mantova vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mantova v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Mantova vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Mantova 1-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Mantova and Carrarese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
The preview numbers (40% / 27% / 33%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Carrarese saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.00 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mantova against 0.67 for Carrarese.
Mantova vs Carrarese Result & Final Score
Mantova 1-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mantova vs Carrarese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mantova 40%, draw 27%, Carrarese 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mantova) went the other way.