Carrarese 0-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
17%
4.95
X/2
8%
7.92
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
2/2
15%
5.65
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.55/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.9 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
230 Passes 431
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.05.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
20.10.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-0
AWAY Mantova
1.10 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
302 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Mantova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Carrarese had 52% of the ball to Mantova's 48%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.10 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrarese and 1.50 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Mantova?

Carrarese 0-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 46%, draw 25%, Mantova 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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