Empoli vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Empoli v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Empoli vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Empoli
İTA
3-1
HT 2-1
Frosinone
İTB
0-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Frosinone
İTB
4-0
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTB
Empoli 1-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Empoli and Frosinone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Empoli had 45% of the ball to Frosinone's 55%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Empoli and 1.17 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Empoli vs Frosinone?
Empoli 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Empoli vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Empoli 34%, draw 27%, Frosinone 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frosinone), Over 2.5 went the other way.