Empoli 0-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 May 2024

Empoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Frosinone
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Empoli vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.38
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.16
X/2
9%
6.08
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.26
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.61/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.65
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.7 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Empoli vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
311 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
30.01.2021 Empoli Empoli 3-1 HT 2-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
26.09.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
10.07.2020 Empoli Empoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
30.11.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
17.03.2019 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTA

Empoli 0-0 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Frosinone
0.31 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
174 Passes 225
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Frosinone fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Empoli had 47% of the ball to Frosinone's 53%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.31 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Empoli and 1.33 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Frosinone?

Empoli 0-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Empoli 44%, draw 28%, Frosinone 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Empoli), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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