Milan vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
3-1
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTK
0-3
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
2-1
HT 1-1
Genoa
İTA
2-2
HT 0-0
Milan
İTA
Milan 3-3 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Milan and Genoa shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Milan at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Milan had 60% of the ball to Genoa's 40%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.80 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Milan and 0.67 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Milan vs Genoa?
Milan 3-3 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Milan 53%, draw 26%, Genoa 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.