Roma 1-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.15
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.6
X/2
8%
5.19
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.52/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.3 Crosses 14.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Juventus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
401 Passes 416
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
05.03.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
27.08.2022 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
09.01.2022 Roma Roma 3-4 HT 1-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
17.10.2021 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
06.02.2021 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
1-1
AWAY Juventus
1.76 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
473 Passes 294
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 26
36 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma and Juventus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Roma had 60% of the ball to Juventus's 40%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.76 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Roma vs Juventus?

Roma 1-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Roma 36%, draw 29%, Juventus 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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